They are the quintessential power couple in Nigeria; The Senate President Bukola Saraki is one of the foremost contenders for the presidency in the 2019 general elections, should President Muhammadu Buhari not seek a second term. Being a medical doctor by profession, conservations with Saraki about the government usually points towards his forthright perspective on economic stratagem, based on his own experience. Skeptical about state-owned enterprises, Saraki argues the government could use proceeds from the sales of Oil and Gas assets to boost critical health and education budgets as well as supporting investment in growth areas such as agriculture production and processing.
During the years of military rule Saraki qualified as a medical doctor at London’s Kings College and practiced then and there for a couple of years before returning to Nigeria to take charge of the family’s holdings, comprising of Pharmaceuticals, Banking, Real Estate and Trading Conglomerates. In the advent of Democratic rule in 1999, the then President of Nigeria, President Olusegun Obasanjo, sought out for young technocrats in business to help shape the new government, hence Saraki was brought in as a budget adviser in the Presidency. He was entangled in the political arena, fighting battles around the presidency and the ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP). An aggregate of a high-powered government connections, business acumen and backing from his father, a political Titan in the region, help Saraki win two terms as a governor in the state of Kwara, Nigeria.
That skyrocketed him into the top political “cream de la cream” in the country. But it earned him several adversaries, in which the Saraki family has a substantial stake, had its operational license suspended in 2007 after conceding heavy losses. Saraki fought back strongly, establishing a reputation as a canny political operator, first as the mastermind of the Governor’s Forum, and in 2013, tag-teaming with his “jolly fellow”, Rotimi Amaechi, the then governor of Rivers State, to set up a new opposition party, the All Progressive Party (APC) in alliance with the present “democratic dictator” in the person of President Muhammadu Buhari. Elected Senate President in 2015, Saraki is again showing political imagination, as his political honeymoon with President Buhari turned sour overnight, Saraki has ultimately gone back to sought out for an Umbrella shade of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) like the biblical prodigal son to forestall is political ambitions of becoming the number one citizen of the country against which President Buhari’s second term is at stake.
On the other hand for President Muhammadu Buhari, 2019 general elections will be a test of his political life. What happens during the general elections will determine both his legacy and his next move. Two task conquers his so called elections agenda; combating corruption to forestall the already destroyed Image of the Nigerian Nation and re-organizing the armed forces that are struggling to curtail insurgency in the north. A reflective and timid man, 75-year-old Buhari is the antithesis of the gambler, but he nonetheless will throw the dice in 2019, i.e. he will push ahead on full steam with big spending policies particularly geared towards his political campaign come 2019. He has envisaged the biggest budget, some $29bn in Nigeria’s history and plans to borrow at least $7.5bn to finance new projects.
For the mean time his health looked restored after about 20 months of treatment, Buhari faces the challenge of a lifetime. He has to turn around a government that was drowning in its first two years in power. It is utmost that before the year runs out, Buhari would have solidified his decision whether to run for a second term in elections due in the first quarter of 2019. Buhari remains a hero in most part of northern Nigeria, especially his home state of Katsina and a nightmare to the rest of the nation. Yet for northern Nigeria there are still questions on security. With “Lip Service” the Islamic Sect (Boko-Haram) have been driven of their domain in the Sambisa Forest, but the Organization still launches deadly attacks on mosques and open marketplaces. The Nigerian army has been push to its brinks but it is still plagued with internal rivalries and fight over arms deals.
In the south Buhari is perceived differently, will he be able to fire up the economy of Lagos, the country’s and West Africa’s commercial power house? And in the Niger-Delta, can he be taken seriously as a peacemaker? The minister of state for petroleum and Vice-President Yemi Osibanjo have been in romance with the militants there, but they seem to have patched up old system, not broken the jinx. Buhari will struggled to win the assurance of the South-East, plagued by calls for secession by the so called Indigenous People of Biafra Movement. In most cases the South-East have no time for secessionist talk but argue their region has been marginalized by the government in Abuja. With more growing doubts about President Buhari, he will have to dig deep for votes much more energetically in the South-East and the Niger-Delta.
“He who thinks he is leading and has no one following him, is only taking a walk”